Gartner evaluates impact of key emerging technologies

In a new report entitled Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies 2008, Gartner has identified the leading emerging technologies and predicts that a handful of these will transform the way that business is conducted over the next ten years.

Trends and technologies that will all reach their peak in the next two to five years are green IT, cloud computing, social computing platforms, video telepresence and microblogging.

"Although Web 2.0 is now entering the Trough of Disillusionment, it will emerge within two years to have transformational impact, as companies steadily gain more experience and success with both the technologies and the cultural implications," said Jackie Fenn, vice president and Gartner Fellow.

She added: "Later - in between two and five years - cloud computing and service-oriented architecture (SOA), which is moving up the Slope of Enlightenment, will deliver transformation in terms of driving deep changes in the role and capabilities of IT.

"Finally, public virtual worlds, which are suffering from disillusionment after their peak of hype in 2007, will in the long term represent an important media channel to support and build broader communities of interest."

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